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Xiaomi stock target raised at Goldman on EV success

Investing.com — Goldman Sachs raised its 12-month price target for Xiaomi (OTC:XIACF) Corp. to HK$27.5, up from HK$24.7, citing stronger-than-expected execution in its electric vehicle (EV) business.

According to the bank, Xiaomi is achieving early success with its “Human x Car x Home” strategy, both in China and globally.

Goldman reiterated its Buy rating on the stock due to Xiaomi’s promising performance in the EV market, including the ramp-up of its SU7 EV deliveries and upcoming new product releases.

The bank raised its estimates for SU7 deliveries in 2025 and beyond to over 225,000 units annually, following strong order momentum and increased manufacturing capacity at the company’s Phase I factory. Xiaomi management is targeting 20,000 deliveries in October alone.

Additionally, the bank introduced estimates for Xiaomi’s upcoming SU7 Ultra model, which will debut at the Nürburgring in October, with projected sales of 4,000 units at an average selling price of RMB 800,000 in 2025, contributing 5% of the company’s EV revenue.

They explained that Xiaomi’s second EV model is also expected to hit the market earlier than anticipated, with sales volumes projected at 40,000 units in 2025 and 210,000 units in 2026, accounting for 15% and 44% of the company’s EV revenue in those respective years.

The launch of the flagship Xiaomi 15 smartphone series later this month is another anticipated growth driver. Goldman highlighted that the Xiaomi 14 series saw 80% higher shipments than its predecessor and expects the Xiaomi 15 series to perform well both in China and overseas.

Goldman Sachs expects Xiaomi’s EV business to grow significantly, projecting a US$18.5 billion valuation for the segment, up from US$12.7 billion. This success, combined with a favorable operating leverage, leads to strong profit forecasts, prompting the bank to maintain its positive outlook on Xiaomi’s future.

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